Why tackling inequality is key to the success of Labour’s opportunity mission, and how to make it happen
By Melanie Field and Will Snell
Introduction
About this report
This report aims to demonstrate why the new Labour government needs to tackle inequality before it can make real progress on the opportunity mission, what kinds of policy goals might be useful in orientating government policy towards tackling inequality as a result, and how to work across government to make progress on tackling inequalities as part of a wider shift to mission-driven government and working practices.
About the authors
Melanie Field is a freelance independent adviser on equality and human rights. Until October 2023 she was Chief Strategy and Policy Officer at the Equality and Human Rights Commission, where her focus was on ensuring the organisation’s strategic direction, policy positions and priorities were clear, evidence-based, relevant and impactful, and that it had the capacity and culture to deliver exemplary work to drive further progress in Britain on equality and human rights. Prior to joining the Commission in 2014, Melanie had a 25-year Civil Service career working in the justice and health sectors and, for the last 15 years, specialising in equality and human rights policy. She led the development of significant advances in equality legislation, including outlawing sexual orientation discrimination in services and public functions and leading the creation and implementation of the Equality Act 2010, for which she was awarded the OBE in 2011. Her final Civil Service role was steering the parliamentary passage and subsequent implementation of the Marriage (Same Sex Couples) Act 2013.
Will Snell is Chief Executive of the Fairness Foundation. He set up the organisation in 2021, after several years working on tax justice campaigns in the UK and overseas with the Tax Justice Network and as the founding Director and then Chair of Tax Justice UK, and following a period as interim Chief Operating Officer at Global Witness, a human rights and climate nonprofit. Earlier in his career, Will worked in government as a Fast Stream civil servant, first at the Department for Health and then the Department for International Development, as well as working on the cross-government resilience programme led by the Cabinet Office. He left government in the late 2000s to set up a social enterprise in Kenya before joining a global health NGO, Development Media International, as Director of Strategy and Development. Will has served on nonprofit boards for over 20 years and is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences.
About the Fairness Foundation
The Fairness Foundation works to change the debate around fairness in order to build a fairer Britain. We are a registered charity (1044174). Our vision is a Britain where everyone has the ‘fair necessities’:
We lack a shared vision of a good society, but we believe that we can build a consensus around the need to reduce all forms of inequality substantially, because today’s unequal society is inherently unfair. We work to achieve this consensus by making three linked arguments to politicians and other decision-makers and influencers:
THE MORAL CASE
Building and popularising a vision for a fairer Britain that can attract broad support
THE POLITICAL CASE
Demonstrating that the public are more concerned about inequality and supportive of action by government to tackle it, and less divided in their views, than we think that they are
THE POLICY CASE
Showing that tackling inequality must be a national priority, by promoting evidence of the various ways in which different forms of inequality reinforce each other, and also undermine sustainable economic growth, social cohesion, democracy and action on net zero
Executive summary
Breaking down barriers to opportunity is one of the new Labour government’s five missions. And Labour understands that this requires action outside as well as inside the classroom. Their general election manifesto points out that “greater opportunity requires greater security”, while the original opportunity mission document argues that “housing and job insecurity are barriers for too many people from disadvantaged backgrounds”. The battle against the five giants has not been won; squalor and want, in particular, have made a comeback in recent decades.
There’s plenty of evidence to back up the assertion that poverty and inequality are barriers to opportunity to such an extent that no government could ever succeed in giving everyone equal opportunities without substantially reducing both. This report lays out some of the latest research on this topic. More recently still, the Joseph Rowntree Foundation has published a report showing that on average, primary school staff estimate that 48% of their pupils have experienced hardship at some point since the start of the school year. That’s a shocking statistic. Children can’t learn if they don’t have enough food, sleep, secure and decent housing, or physical and mental health.
And the philosophical arguments are equally persuasive. John Rawls proposed the fair equality of opportunity principle: that everyone should have a truly equal chance to succeed in life, regardless of their class, race or sex. This goes well beyond overcoming discrimination, requiring much more radical action than many assume. We have attempted in a previous report to summarise the difference between what we call ‘deep opportunity’ and ‘shallow opportunity’, but in this report that job is taken on by an expert in the field, Martin O’Neill, Professor of Political Philosophy at the University of York.
The inescapable conclusion of both the empirical and the normative literature is that inequality is unfair, for two reasons: because a lot of it is caused by circumstances outside people’s control (i.e. unequal opportunities), and because unequal outcomes in one generation preclude equal opportunities in the next. Some fascinating new research from the London School of Economics suggests that in the UK, 30% of income inequality is “unfair’ because it is directly linked to inherited characteristics that, by definition, are outside people’s control (race, sex, place of birth, family background etc); the report notes that this figure is probably an underestimate. The report also provides new evidence of the existence of the ‘Great Gatsby curve’, which shows that income inequality is correlated with inequality of opportunity, proving that you cannot level up opportunities without first making significant progress on levelling up outcomes.
Inequality of various forms – wealth, income, sex, race, region, disability and so on – is not only unfair; it is also actively harmful, for all of us. By hindering opportunity, it wastes talent, reduces productivity and incentivises rent seeking over productive enterprise, and as a result it is a barrier to economic growth. Research into ‘inequality as cholesterol’ finds empirical data to show that inequality caused by factors outside people’s control is bad for economic growth. And inequality’s throttling of opportunity has another, perhaps even more serious impact: it weakens the bonds that hold us together as a society, and undermines people’s trust and participation in the democratic process.
Inequality is a barrier to all of five of Labour’s missions, as we showed in our recent report The Canaries, and as we will argue in our forthcoming Wealth Gap Risk Register. Tackling income poverty alone will not be enough to achieve the opportunity mission and its stablemates; we also need to look at excessive wealth.
The public agrees. 85% of Britons are concerned about inequality, and 83% agree with the need to reduce inequality to support fairer opportunities, while 75% are concerned that very wealthy people have too much influence on the political system, and 69% are concerned about current levels of wealth inequality in the UK.
While Labour understands that action to break down the barriers to opportunity must take place outside the school gates as well as within them, there is a risk that the non-education parts of the opportunity mission will be deprioritised now that they are in government, because they are difficult and because they span the remits of multiple government departments and Ministerial portfolios.
And this risk is blinking red on the dashboard – high-likelihood, and high-impact. Missions are long-term projects; fair enough. But if the Labour government is not able to noticeably improve people’s life chances and living standards by 2029, there is a real risk that far-right parties will capitalise on this failure and achieve a result in that year’s general election that has to date been dismissed as impossible. As Robert Shrimsley argued in the Financial Times in June: “A Starmer government may be British politics’ last chance to halt the populist radical right. A flatlining economy and stagnant real wages have left many voters angry — unsure that traditional politics can bring the better life they demand. Mainstream parties cannot afford to keep failing them.”
If we’ve established that inequality is a barrier to opportunity, is inherently unfair, is unpopular with the public, and is undermining our economy, our society and our democracy, what can we do about it?
Labour set out its first steps for change in May - including recruiting 6,500 new teachers. Now it needs to work out its next steps. And it needs to set out some detailed targets against which it can measure progress on its missions. For the opportunity mission, these need to include targets for a range of ‘complex outcomes’ that span the different barriers to opportunity, covering social security, education, work, housing and health at a minimum.
This report suggests some indicators to measure these ‘complex outcomes’, without recommending specific targets for each. It also outlines the sorts of policies that will be needed to make meaningful progress on those outcomes, by driving change through a combination of investment, regulation, incentives and taxation. Some of these policies are relatively straightforward, such as tackling insecure work, but some are more ambitious, such as introducing a citizens’ inheritance.
There is no way to break down barriers to opportunity without making the necessary investments in our social and physical infrastructure to reduce inequality and poverty, and this will require new sources of revenue. The inescapable conclusion is that substantial changes are needed to how we tax wealth in this country.
However, this report does not set out to generate a detailed list of policy suggestions, or to argue for specific policies over others. Nor does it seek to explain how to bring those policies about, in terms of the politics or the detailed policy milestones.
Instead, its main contribution, beyond arguing how and why tackling inequality is necessary for achieving the opportunity mission, is to set out some of the ways in which the machinery of government could be reformed to enable progress on these cross-cutting inequality targets, building on recent work on the ‘how’ of making mission-driven government effective, so that government departments have the ability and the incentives to work together towards these shared goals.
We outline nine recommendations for working across government to reduce inequalities:
1. An explicit focus on reducing inequalities 2. Strong political leadership and investment 3. A Secretary of State focussed on fairness, equality and opportunity 4. Effective accountability and delivery mechanisms 5. Stronger institutional support 6. An Equality Delivery Unit at the centre of Government to drive progress 7. An evidence-based approach to prioritisation and ‘What Works’ 8. Open and collaborative working 9. Strengthening legislative levers
Background
The Labour Party has pledged to set up a “mission-driven” government, and there has been much discussion recently about what this might look like in practice and how to make it work (from Nesta, the Institute for Government and the Future Governance Forum, among others). The IFG has also made recommendations for reforming the centre of government to deliver more effectively on policy priorities.
One of Labour’s five missions is the opportunity mission, which aims to “break down barriers to opportunity”. It focuses on education and skills, but notes that “dedicated professionals across our education system go above and beyond every day to deliver for our children, but the barriers that too many children face – from the lack of a secure home, to not having books to read or pens to draw with – are not theirs to fix.” It talks about “spreading opportunity beyond education”, arguing that “housing and job insecurity are barriers for too many people from disadvantaged backgrounds. Labour will turn this tide, delivering the opportunities everyone deserves”. Labour’s general election manifesto acknowledges that “greater opportunity requires greater security”, and talks of tackling poverty and inequality through promoting good work, reviewing social security, reducing child poverty, and improving housing security and standards by reforming regulation of the private rented sector.
It's clear, then, that Labour understands that breaking down barriers to opportunity, even within a narrow focus on education and skills opportunities, requires action outside the school gates as well as within them – and that the success of action inside the school gates depends on the impact of action outside them. But there’s a risk that, as the Labour Party moves on from campaigning mode and starts to implement this mission, the messy reality of governing means that the difficult cross-government and cross-sectoral work that is needed to tackle these broader barriers to opportunity falls by the wayside, with limited political bandwidth and economic resources focused on the ‘easier’ policy levers that can be pulled within a single government department.
There’s also a risk that the deep underlying causes of the barriers to opportunities people experience across all areas of life - such as civic and political participation, health and wellbeing and access to justice - are left untouched, and that as a result, progress on dismantling them and making sustainable progress towards a fairer society overall is limited. This applies just as much to the barriers to the narrower opportunities laid out in the opportunity mission as to this broader set of opportunities.
We argued in Deep Opportunity that we need to tackle three such structural issues in particular: wealth inequality, our unfair tax system and aspects of our democracy. Failure to engage with these issues will make it very hard to make progress on issues such as poverty, poor housing and insecure work that undermine people’s life chances across a whole range of areas, including by holding back the educational prospects of disadvantaged children.
Coming back to the opportunity mission specifically, we believe that inequalities of all forms present a fundamental barrier to the achievement of the opportunity mission. We can’t give everyone a fair opportunity in terms of education, skills and work without substantially reducing inequalities in terms of people’s wealth, income and health, as well as linked inequalities based on people’s race, sex, class and disability, and of course regional inequalities.
Now that it is in power, Labour needs to think about how action on inequalities (of all forms) is needed in order to make progress on the opportunity mission by the end of its first term – and how best to measurably reduce inequalities in the face of fiscal and political headwinds and the broader challenges of delivering on cross-government policy areas.
It is crucial that discernible progress is made within the first term of a Labour government, notwithstanding that missions are multi-term projects, in order to persuade the electorate in 2029 that a corner has been turned. More immediately, a clear signpost would provide hope of tangible change.
The opportunity mission will require action from all sections of society, not just from government. But this is an area of policy where government must do a large proportion of the work, as well as showing vision and leadership, ‘crowding in’ investment and convening contributions from other sectors. There are few shortcuts here.
The philosophy of opportunity
Martin O’Neill, Professor of Political Philosophy, University of York
Equality of opportunity is an important and popular political idea, but it is often misused and misunderstood. While equal opportunity can seem straightforward or uncontroversial, it has extraordinarily radical potential. At a quick glance, the idea seems undemanding, but when interrogated with seriousness and thoroughness, a commitment to equality of opportunity reveals itself as requiring a striking transformation of our economic and social institutions.
This line of argument, which flows through this report, was first developed by John Rawls, the most important liberal political philosopher of the past century.
In A Theory of Justice, Rawls distinguishes between two notions of equal opportunity, which can be seen as roughly equivalent to the distinction between ‘shallow opportunity’ and ‘deep opportunity’ that has been central to the work of the Fairness Foundation.
The first of these he labels as “careers open to talents”: the idea that there should be no formal barriers that prevent individual citizens (whatever their race, sex, sexual orientation, or social background) from coming to occupy any particular job or other role within the economy. Rawls contrasts this narrower and more formal idea with a broader and more substantive alternative: what he calls “fair equality of opportunity”. According to this more expansive notion of equal opportunity, the central idea is not just that everyone should have an abstract chance of attaining valuable positions within society, but that everyone should have the same real chances of success “regardless of their initial place in the social system”, such that life chances ought not to depend at all on facts about race, sex, sexual orientation, or class background. As Rawls puts it, according to this stronger idea of fair equality of opportunity, “in all sectors of society there should be roughly equal prospects of culture and achievement for everyone similarly motivated and endowed”.
Rawls realises that this is an ideal that may be impossible to achieve completely, but his argument is that justice demands that societies take stringent and comprehensive steps towards approaching this goal as much as is practically feasible. In Rawls’s view, once we begin to entertain the importance of even a shallower conception of equal opportunity, we will be led inexorably towards acceptance of this more ambitious and demanding version of the idea. Think of this in terms of how we might justify our social, economic and political institutions to one another: none of us would be able to justify to our any of our fellow citizens that they should not have a full chance to realise the potential of their talents and abilities, just because of their racial background, or sex, or because their parents weren’t from a privileged background, or didn’t attend university. Rawls believed that a distribution of different jobs and roles within our social system can only be justifiable to everyone when everyone has an equal opportunity to develop their own talents and abilities; and in turn this depends that social outcomes should not depend on race, sex, social class, or other contingent features of our individual backgrounds. ‘Shallow’ approaches to equal opportunity fail to meet this standard of mutual justification, and so as soon as we start to take equal opportunity seriously, we are led towards this more radical and demanding idea.
This deeper conception of ‘fair equality of opportunity’ has a range of radical implications. Although many of Rawls’s readers and commentators have focussed on his more famous ‘difference principle’ (according to which socioeconomic inequalities are justifiable only when they are maximally to the advantage of the least well-off), there is a case to be made that it is Rawls’s prior commitment to his equal opportunity principle that actually carries more far-reaching implications within his view of justice. This is especially the case when we bear in mind that Rawls holds that his difference principle applies only after the principle of fair equality of opportunity has already been satisfied.
One could summarise Rawls’s approach to equal opportunity in this way: that as soon as we take the idea of fair opportunities seriously, there really cannot be any quick answers or half-measures. Political and intellectual consistency instead demand that we see that a serious-minded approach to equal opportunity is pushing us towards endorsing a set of policies that does as much as possible to uncouple people’s life chances from the social contingencies of their backgrounds. We can see this report as a practical and fine-grained exploration of what this project of taking equal opportunity seriously would actually look like in contemporary Britain.
A consistent commitment to equal opportunity has broad policy implications, extending beyond education and taxation policy (important though they are) to encompass health, housing, employment, and social security. Old-fashioned debates around the purported distinction between ‘equality of opportunity’ and ‘equality of outcome’ generally miss the mark, given that high levels of material inequality in terms of socioeconomic outcomes are both the consequence and the cause of inequalities of opportunity.
While Rawls appreciated the implications of a commitment to equal opportunity across a whole range of policy areas, in his own writing he emphasised two areas: education and taxation. It is worth here taking seriously the central implications that Rawls himself saw as flowing from fair equality of opportunity, as they are clearly relevant to our own contemporary political debates. On education, Rawls’s view was not only that any education system that widened existing social inequalities was unjust, but that a just society should be one where the school system is “designed to even out class barriers”. In other words, in Rawls’s view, the education system should seek not just to avoid widening existing equalities, but to reduce them. The implications of this idea would seem to be that a society that takes equal opportunity seriously should significantly increase the funding of education in more deprived areas. Looking beyond the education system, it could not be clearer that, where there are policies that deepen class barriers for children even before they reach school age, such as the two-child limit on benefits that affects 1.5 million of the most disadvantaged children in the UK, an honest commitment to equal opportunity would demand policy changes that make sure that children’s life chances are not unjustly stunted even before they start school.
On taxation, Rawls’s views are perhaps surprising, but can best be understood in terms of his commitment to fair equality of opportunity. He believed that there is little rationale for society taxing income from labour at all, and that the tax system should instead be structurally reconfigured towards taxation of high levels of wealth and inheritance, alongside taxes on consumption. Rawls argued that “excessive accumulations of property and wealth” make the achievement of equal opportunity impossible, and that the tax system should be reorganised to address the background distributions of riches that make fair life chances impossible, so that less would be needed in terms of taxing the income that citizens earn through the deployment of their talents and abilities in making valuable social contributions through work. It is worth considering
Why action on inequality is needed to unlock progress on opportunity
What is deep opportunity?
A society of shallow opportunity provides a decent level of education for all and ensures that no one has to overcome overt discrimination or bias, but does not tackle underlying systemic barriers to maximising their potential, such as growing up in poverty, in poor housing or in poor health.
A society of deep opportunity provides a decent level of education for all and ensures that no one has to overcome overt discrimination or bias, but also ensures that no one faces underlying systemic barriers to maximising their potential, as everyone has access to the ‘fair necessities’.
Unequal outcomes in one generation lead to unequal opportunities in the next, because people’s advantage or disadvantage are inevitably passed onto their children. It is not possible for the education system to come anywhere near to compensating for this. As a result, economic inequality inevitably leads to educational inequality, and would do so even if the education system was perfect. So inequality holds back opportunity.
Consider some obvious barriers that prevent children from disadvantaged backgrounds from performing as well as their peers at school, in further/higher education or in the job market (click on each image for detailed information):
According to the latest figures, 4.3 million children are growing up in poverty in the UK, equal to nine children in an average classroom of 30, and seven out of 10 children in poverty have at least one parent in paid work.
A literature review of key drivers of the disadvantage gap published by the Education Policy Institute in 2018 sets out some of the various ways in which deprivation (defined in terms of income poverty, but also a lack of social and cultural capital and control over decisions) degrades cognitive development and performance:
So it is no surprise that in Britain today, educational outcomes and career opportunities are severely unequal:
Of course education and skills are vital, but we also need to look at the social determinants of education - the barriers that hold some children back from achieving their best in the classroom, even with the best possible educational support, such as poverty, poor housing and poor health. These barriers in turn have deeper structural causes, such as inadequate social security, a dysfunctional labour market and housing system, crumbling public services and unequal access to justice. Each of these intersects with inequalities of class, race, sex, region, disability and so on, exacerbated (but not entirely caused) by prejudice and discrimination; for example, poor mental health is over three times more common among disabled people than among non-disabled people, and relative poverty rates are more than twice the overall rate among Pakistani adults (see the Equality and Human Rights Commission website for more examples).
None of these social determinants can be fixed without addressing those underlying structural causes. And we cannot address those structural causes without tackling the underlying inequalities. The philosopher John Rawls set out the principle of ‘fair equality of opportunity’ – that everyone should have a truly equal chance to succeed in life, regardless of their class, race or sex, as opposed to having a theoretical chance to do so by virtue of not being discriminated against. All forms of inequality prevent some people from accessing opportunities to maximise their talent and contribute to our society and economy.
In part, this is an agenda about tackling poverty – and in particular, reducing the number of children in poverty and the number of families in deep and/or persistent poverty. But it must also be about tackling inequality (in all forms, since different forms of inequality interact with and exacerbate each other; for example, the Runnymede Trust found that the average Black African or Bangladeshi household has £30,000 in wealth, while the average White household has £282,000, driven in large part by inequalities in property wealth; meanwhile, the Women’s Budget Group reported that men have on average £92,762 more in total wealth than women, a gap of 35%).
Why is tackling inequality, and not just poverty, essential for realising fair opportunities for all?
Inequality is itself a cause of poverty.
Economic inequality increases the share of national income going to the richest in society, at the expense of others. It also increases house prices, undermines public services, reduces people’s educational and occupational choices, and acts as a barrier to political reforms that would reduce levels of poverty, not least by corroding the ties of common citizenship between the rich and powerful and those in poverty. International data shows a strong positive correlation between levels of wealth inequality and levels of poverty.
Inequality disincentivises hard work.
Wealth gaps are so large that earning a high income is no longer enough to overcome them. Inheriting wealth is much more important than earning a decent salary, which makes people feel they are no longer playing by the same rules. It makes luck more important than merit, reducing the extent to which individual talent and effort influences people’s life chances and outcomes. The wealthy can ‘hoard’ economic opportunities by blocking more capable people from accessing prestigious courses or careers.
Inequality is self-sustaining because it reduces social mobility.
Wealth allows people to invest in costly education, training and other opportunities. Those with less wealth are less able to access these activities and therefore struggle to improve their skillsets, lagging behind individuals with higher levels of wealth. Children from poorer backgrounds face significant barriers to educational and economic advancement compared to their wealthier peers, reducing social mobility and perpetuating the cycle of poverty, as evidenced by the ‘Great Gatsby Curve’. Even small differences in household wealth can lead to sizeable and long-lasting gaps in human capital and income. Social mobility can never be a ‘cure’ for wealth inequality.
Inequality doesn’t just hold back progress on equalising opportunities for individuals. Various forms of inequality also hold Britain back from achieving many of its policy priorities, from economic growth to improving health outcomes and achieving its net zero target, as well as undermining social cohesion and democracy. Here are some examples of the ways in which different forms of inequality undermine key policy priorities:
Wealth inequality slows growth by shifting economic activity from productive enterprise towards rent-seeking activities, undermines society by making it more difficult to get ahead through hard work, and damages democracy by reducing people’s trust and engagement in the political process, as the wealthy are often seen to be influencing political decisions in their own interests and playing by a different set of rules.
Income inequality slows growth by constraining skills development, undermines society by reducing social mobility, and damages democracy by undermining social cohesion and a sense of shared values or purpose.
Regional inequality slows growth by creating places that suffer from vicious cycles of low levels of physical, intangible, human, financial, social and institutional capital, as well as undermining a range of health and other social outcomes and damaging trust in democracy.
Gender inequality slows growth by creating barriers to paid work for women that cost the UK £89bn per year.
Racial inequality slows growth by creating an ethnic employment gap that reduces tax contributions and increases benefits payments, and damages democracy and society by breeding distrust in public institutions.
Disability inequality slows growth because lower employment rates among disabled people reduce economic output and productivity, reduce tax revenues and increase benefit payments.
In the autumn we will publish a Wealth Gap Risk Register, looking at the current and potential future impacts of wealth inequality on our economy, society and democracy and how to mitigate them.
Attitudinal research shows that people are concerned about economic and regional inequalities, but many people are also increasingly worried about inequalities of class, disability and ethnicity, to the point where these have reached level pegging with regional inequalities (despite the recent focus on the latter via the levelling up agenda). Other inequalities - of health, education, political influence, and status and respect - are also becoming more salient. 85% of the British public are concerned about inequality, and even those who are less worried about inequality in principle are concerned about its practical consequences: constraining productivity and economic growth, threatening social cohesion and democracy, and undermining a rapid transition to net zero.
However, increasing levels of concern about inequality and unfairness among the British public are not being reflected in mainstream political debate and policymaking. Politicians of all parties need to treat inequality – and wealth inequality in particular – as a first-order concern. There is a strong moral case for doing so – because high levels of inequality are intrinsically unfair. And there is an overwhelming political case for doing so – because the vast majority of Britons are concerned about inequalities and want a fairer society.
But there is also a pressing policy case for action. As the evidence assembled above makes clear, inequality, left unchecked, is an insurmountable barrier to progress on the opportunity mission. Moreover, it will also undermine progress on Labour’s other missions – growth, health, crime and net zero. With the Institute for Fiscal Studies predicting that wealth inequality will only increase in the coming years as people’s incomes and living standards depend more and more on how much wealth (if any) they inherit, this is a problem that the Labour government must tackle from day one.
The rest of this report suggests some key policy goals to aim for, and then sets out the changes needed in government to achieve them.
Outcomes and policies needed to make progress on inequality
At the moment, the detailed goals that sit underneath high-level ‘mission’-style outcomes in the 2023 mission documents do not adequately address the need to tackle inequalities – and neither do the manifesto commitments. Labour’s opportunity mission document includes targets such as ‘boosting child development with half a million more children hitting the early learning goals by 2030’ or ‘ensuring that 80% of young people are qualified to Level 3 (A-Level equivalent) by 2035’. Meanwhile, the manifesto talks about recruiting 6,500 new teachers and opening 3,000 additional nurseries. These imply a focus on improving outcomes among the most disadvantaged, and therefore reducing inequality, but these targets cannot be met without addressing underlying inequalities.
We think that there is a need to identify a small number of complex outcomes for the opportunity mission. Complex outcomes are defined by James Plunkett at Nesta as “intermediate outcomes that are vital to the success of a mission and that are sufficiently complex that they can’t be achieved with siloed working, and that also require us to learn by doing”. Identifying complex outcomes that are explicitly focused on inequality would align incentives behind tackling inequality as a key success factor for the mission overall, and it would ensure that the outcomes incentivised or required effective working across government departments and sectors.
We have already argued in Deep Opportunity that we cannot break down barriers to opportunity through action in the education sector alone; we must also tackle structural barriers such as poverty and poor housing, and to do this we must tackle the underlying inequalities – especially of wealth. Achieving a superficial level of ‘equality of opportunity’ (for example, by increasing social mobility, i.e. reducing intergenerational income persistence) will not be enough on its own, and will be impossible to achieve without reducing inequality of outcomes.
A government that recognises the need to tackle inequality to break down barriers to opportunity would want to identify a set of complex outcomes as key metrics. Here are some examples of the sorts of indicators related to complex outcomes that could be included as ‘sub-indicators’ for the opportunity mission (many drawn from the 50 national wellbeing indicators published by the Welsh Government in 2022):
These indicators would need to take into account the extent to which inequalities have been reduced between different groups, such as across ethnic groups and between disabled and non-disabled people, as well as measuring headline progress on reducing overall levels of inequality or disadvantage.
We believe that an overarching objective for the opportunity mission should be to achieve wealth equity: the state in which all households, regardless of demographic identity, have the opportunity to accumulate enough wealth to ensure short-term stability and long-term economic mobility, and to enjoy a decent standard of living.
The policies needed to make meaningful progress on those outcomes would drive change through a combination of investment, regulation, incentives and taxation. These are policies that, as Will Hutton has argued in This Time No Mistakes, fuse the traditions of ethical socialism and progressive liberalism, building on the post-war achievements of the NHS and the welfare state but also on policies enacted by more recent governments, such as Sure Start and the National Minimum Wage:
This report does not set out to generate a detailed list of policy suggestions, or to argue for specific policies over others. Nor does it seek to explain how to bring those policies about, in terms of the politics or the detailed policy milestones. Instead, it aims to set out some of the ways in which the machinery of government could be reformed to enable progress on these cross-cutting inequality targets, building on recent work on the ‘how’ of making mission-driven government effective, so that government departments have the ability and the incentives to work together towards these shared goals. It focuses on reforming (and, where appropriate, building) institutions as a key stepping stone on our journey towards building a fairer and more prosperous Britain in which the barriers to opportunity are no longer with us.
How to work across government to reduce inequalities
Labour’s five missions set out the big, long-term, strategic priority areas where they will focus action to deliver improvements in government. And they have also set out six “first steps for change” towards achieving those priorities. This focus on delivering specific outcomes through incremental initiatives to achieve measurable changes is welcome. But unless those outcomes and changes are delivered for everyone everywhere in Britain, and include measures to reduce existing inequalities, they risk entrenching and even exacerbating disadvantage.
While the framing of some of Labour’s missions acknowledges regional differences and the impact of the cost of living crisis, current commitments do not adequately recognise the long-standing disparities experienced by some groups, or the need to reduce these – both by targeted initiatives to reduce inequalities and through a broader approach to tackling the social determinants of those inequalities that lead to some groups being more likely to experience deprivation generation after generation, and always being left behind.
The opportunity mission does explicitly recognise the impact of poverty and geography on educational attainment. But it does not acknowledge the persistently low levels of early years development for Gypsy, Roma and Irish Traveller children, the increasing gap in GCSE attainment between Black Caribbean and White British children, nor the under-performance of boys compared to girls from early years right through to higher education. Proposals for upskilling, apprenticeships and training to increase opportunities in higher paid jobs do not mention the disproportionate numbers of ethnic minority and younger workers in insecure work, nor the persistent employment and pay gaps and disproportionate likelihood of being in low-paid occupations experienced by disabled people, certain ethnic minorities and women. These structural inequalities require focussed attention through a whole-system approach if they are to be dismantled for current and future generations.
So how can this risk be addressed in practical terms? We’ve identified nine steps that the new Labour Government can take to create the conditions for reducing inequalities and delivering its missions for everyone: